Score needed on the remaining 40%, for each letter
needed = (target − current × graded share) ÷ remaining share. Over 100% means out of reach without extra credit; under 0% means it's already locked in.
What "drop the lowest quiz" is really worth
Edit the quiz scores, choose how many are dropped, and see the category average move. Then the effect on the course grade, through this category's weight (15%).
Your 84.2% under four grading policies
Points-based and weighted grading give different answers
In a points course, every point counts the same: a 200-point final outweighs ten 10-point quizzes because it has more points. In a weighted course, the syllabus fixes each category's share regardless of how many points it holds. Same scores, two grades.
Example: homework 95% of 100 points, two exams 70% of 200 points, final 80% of 100 points.